Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 2.986452 3.533632 4.180874 5.010740 6.057783 7.350228 9.090395e+00
2024-10-20 2.245313 2.928948 3.846811 5.202709 7.214619 10.193031 1.514829e+01
2024-10-27 1.806925 2.495304 3.492222 5.101336 7.757852 12.222121 2.092715e+01
2024-11-03 1.635598 2.374276 3.518637 5.522718 9.187097 16.180662 3.234012e+01
2024-11-10 1.461176 2.204810 3.419629 5.692436 10.219914 19.880502 4.603443e+01
2024-11-17 1.343164 2.098611 3.393874 5.971495 11.548077 24.857687 6.753715e+01
2024-11-24 1.202709 1.929385 3.222274 5.922322 12.164213 28.520608 8.945558e+01
2024-12-01 1.104156 1.816535 3.130058 6.006411 13.115178 33.650085 1.239656e+02
2024-12-08 1.015827 1.708546 3.026746 6.039010 13.955522 39.048705 1.696460e+02
2024-12-15 0.963922 1.660191 3.031214 6.314887 15.564782 48.253514 2.584805e+02
2024-12-22 0.882421 1.544466 2.878881 6.180680 15.950304 53.342325 3.373666e+02
2024-12-29 0.822689 1.464160 2.788997 6.181982 16.767568 61.037111 4.708169e+02
2025-01-05 0.745598 1.350168 2.631021 6.033325 17.273806 69.183118 6.797545e+02
2025-01-12 0.700857 1.298957 2.610435 6.273007 19.388950 89.471959 1.312788e+03
2025-01-19 0.640335 1.205668 2.474852 6.145114 20.067290 103.035455 2.129698e+03
2025-01-26 0.622781 1.201938 2.551402 6.678492 23.893372 147.960669 6.237268e+03
2025-02-02 0.590534 1.161018 2.528217 6.894043 26.534460 192.835500 1.750319e+04
2025-02-09 0.567232 1.137058 2.543863 7.249327 30.261906 265.817306 8.151021e+04
2025-02-16 0.529794 1.075464 2.449030 7.186646 31.710331 319.508525 3.439492e+05
2025-02-23 0.502354 1.034325 2.403170 7.293855 34.353877 410.510271 6.010689e+06
2025-03-02 0.475342 0.991068 2.344338 7.335443 36.701895 518.511657 2.316173e+12
2025-03-09 0.460090 0.974883 2.360374 7.687953 41.741545 751.818270 NaN
2025-03-16 0.431263 0.921554 2.258806 7.516341 42.673818 885.520842 NaN